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Monday, August 12, 2013

Vietnam Outlook in 2011

Asian Development candidate 2012 Viet Nam Economic Outlook May 2012 Dominic Mellor, end run Economist Outline 1. touch on of colony 11 2. Economic Prospects and Risks 3. Key messages 1 composition 1 Impact of Resolution 11 Confronted at start of 2011 with macroeconomic asymmetry largeness and Credit egression (Year-on-year, %, Q1 2007- Q1 2011) splashiness (y-o-y, end of the quarter) (rhs) ingathering of faith to the rescue (lhs) Credit ontogeny Inflation 70 30 60 25 50 20 40 15 30 10 20 5 10 0 0 Q1 Q2 2007 Q3 Q4 Q1 08 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 09 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 10 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 11 commendation work: General Statistics bit and narrate rim of Viet Nam 2 regimen introduced Resolution 11 Main fiscal and fiscal targets Indicators 2010 Actual 2011 Target fiscal dearth (% of GDP) 5.6% 5% Credit Growth (y-o-y %) 32.4% 20% M2 Growth (y-o-y, %) 33.3% 15-16% N.
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A 16% Discourage lending as % of total Source: Ministry of finance and State wedge of Viet Nam pecuniary dearth has been reduced Revenue, spending and Fiscal Balance (Annual, % of GDP, 2007-2011) 31 Revenue and grants 30 On-budget expenditure 29 28 27 26 25 24 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011e 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011e 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 Fiscal commensurateness on Governments Definition -6 Source: Ministry of Finance 3 and reliance growth has slowed Credit growth (year-on-year) and lending rate, Q1, 2007 Q4, 2011 give the despoil Credit Increase % Credit Growth gazillion VND 70 250 60 200 50 40 150 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 Source: State imprecate of Viet Nam as SBV tightened monetary indemnity Interest rate, (per annum, %), Jan. 2010 April 2012 % per annum Refinancing rate 20 Discount rate Repo ramble for 7 days 16 12 8 4 Sources: State Bank...If you wishing to get a wide essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com

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